International Forex News - September 1
September 2, 2026
FDD-global.com
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Highlights at a glance
US President Trump hints at a possible strike on Iran while criticizing the Federal Reserve’s interest rate policies, stating rates are too high. He also expressed uncertainty over Iran's leadership, calling it a 'failed country'. Meanwhile, according to CME FedWatch, the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping rates unchanged in September is 34.6%, while rate hikes dominate market expectations. Insights reveal shifting probabilities for October outcomes as economic decisions loom.
Trump Says Iran May Be Struck Again, Reiterates That US Interest Rates Are Too High
On September 1, US President Donald Trump said in an interview at the White House on Monday local time: "A lot of ships passed through the Strait of Hormuz last night. On average, 30 ships pass through each night, and a large volume of oil is leaving through the Strait of Hormuz." Discussing how the situation may develop, Trump said: "Iran may be struck. Let's see what happens next. I think the Iranians themselves do not know who their leader is. Nobody knows who Iran's leader is. Iran is a failed country." Trump also commented on interest rates: "Interest rates are too high at the moment. I have great respect for Federal Reserve Chair Warsh. He will do what he has to do."
Probability of the Federal Reserve Holding Rates Unchanged in September at 34.6%
On September 1, according to CME FedWatch, the probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged through September is 34.6%, while the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point rate increase is 65.4%. By October, the probability of unchanged rates is 25.4%, the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point increase is 57.2%, and the probability of a cumulative 50-basis-point increase is 17.4%.
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