Nitrogen And Potassium Take Turns To Rise, What Are The Variables Of Fertilizer Market In Next Spring?

Recently, the market price of chemical fertilizer "jumped up and down", and the price of nitrogen, phosphorus and potassium rose in turn. It can be said that you sang and I came on stage. Under the circumstances that the basic raw materials for chemical fertilizer production have not changed greatly, the agricultural market demand is light, and the industrial demand is not strong, the price of urea will rise instead of falling, and nitrogen, phosphorus, and potassium will take turns to go into battle, and the price will rise, which will lay a hidden danger for the market in next spring, which will make people feel suspicious.


After entering the winter storage, urea went up all the way, but when it just stopped and fell back, it was expected that phosphorus and potassium would continue to go up in BLACKPINK. At present, the price of nitrogen fertilizer urea is 2,750 yuan/ton, up by about 350 yuan, diammonium phosphate by about 250 yuan/ton and potassium fertilizer by about 150 yuan/ton.

As a kind of market behavior, the purpose of raising the price is to make more shipments, to suppress competitors, to maximize profits, and so on. However, it is currently in the winter storage period of chemical fertilizers. Judging from the rising prices of nitrogen, phosphorus and potassium in winter, it is more likely that there will be a weak rise and a strong fall next year. In other words, when fertilizer is being used in spring ploughing next year, the price of fertilizer may fluctuate as much as this year, which will not only make the end farmers complain, but also make the channel providers suffer losses. This is not an alarmist, nor a mountain out of a molehill. In recent years, the fat market has experienced a weak rise and a strong fall, which has caused many dealers and traders to lose their money.

The abnormal rise in the price during the winter storage period not only lays a hidden worry for the possible plunge in the market outlook, but also is not conducive to the channel stocking. It's already December. If the grass-roots dealers continue to be afraid or unwilling to store in winter, it means that the time for stocking in spring is shortened, and there is uncertainty in transportation. It is very likely that there will be regional and staged supply shortage of fertilizer next spring, which is probably not good news for agriculture.

At present, it is the overwhelming responsibility and responsibility of the industry to ensure the supply and price of fertilizer. The rising price of agricultural materials directly drives the increase of farmers' grain production cost. In recent years, the price of agricultural materials has been rising all the way, and even reached a new high during the spring ploughing this year. The domestic compound fertilizer reached 4,000 yuan/ton, up 70% compared with the same period last year. Although the state subsidizes farmers' agricultural resources, the increase of grain can't keep up with the increase of agricultural resources, which affects farmers' enthusiasm for growing grain to some extent.

Call on relevant departments to continue to strengthen supervision over the market of bulk agricultural products such as chemical fertilizers. If left unchecked, it will not only bring huge risks to the circulation market of agricultural materials, but more importantly, the end farmers will also bear the high cost brought by the price increase.

I believe that the fertilizer market will surely return to a stable interval operation under the promotion of the national policy of ensuring supply and stabilizing prices! It is hoped that the majority of agricultural people can also have a better attitude to the current market, with the upstream production enterprises making rational quotations and downstream channel providers making rational winter storage, so as to jointly maintain the market order and make good preparations for next spring ploughing and lay a good foundation. (Wang Genjie)