Phosphate Fertilizer Daily Review: Pending Orders Support Prices, Stability in the Short Term
June 12, 2024, 9:21 AM
Feidoodoo
4385
Guide
Highlights at a glance
The May 27 Feidoodoo data shows monoammonium phosphate (MAP) prices remained stable, with 55% powdered at 3,062.50, granular at 3,080.00, and 58% powdered at 3,333.33. MAP market prices are firm due to strong backlog orders, rising production, and limited low-priced supply, though downstream buyers remain cautious, opting for just-in-time purchases amid high levels. Raw material costs are mostly stable, with synthetic ammonia easing slightly. Diammonium phosphate (DAP) saw minor declines: 64% granular DAP fell to 3,770.00 and 57% DAP to 3,362.50, while 60% brown held steady at 3,450.00. Enterprises focus on export fulfillment, supporting price stability despite weak domestic demand post-corn season. Maintenance activities reduce output capacity. International DAP prices are climbing, but domestic sentiment remains cautious. With solid export backlogs and elevated costs balancing soft local demand, DAP prices are expected to stay flat with slight fluctuations near term. Overall, both MA
Monoammonium Phosphate (MAP) Price Index:
According to Feidoodoo data, on May 27:
- The domestic 55% powdered MAP price index was 3062.50, stable.
- The 55% granular MAP price index was 3080.00, stable.
- The 58% powdered MAP price index was 3333.33, stable.
MAP Market Analysis and Forecast:
Today, domestic MAP market prices remained stable.
Enterprise Side:
- Pending orders continue to support prices, with many companies halting or limiting new orders.
- Production loads are increasing, but factory prices remain high and stable due to support from pending orders.
Market Side:
- The market remains optimistic, with high prices continuing. Low-priced goods are difficult to find, and the market remains firm.
- Downstream buyers are cautious about high prices, maintaining just-in-time procurement. Summer fertilizer demand is limited but persistent.
Raw Materials:
- Sulfur and phosphate rock prices are stable, with a wait-and-see attitude.
- Synthetic ammonia prices are declining, causing minor fluctuations in costs.
Overall: With continued support from pending orders and increasing production, combined with cautious downstream procurement, MAP prices are expected to remain stable with minor adjustments in the short term.
Diammonium Phosphate (DAP) Price Index:
According to Feidoodoo data, on May 27:
- The domestic 64% granular DAP price index was 3770.00, down.
- The 60% brown DAP price index was 3450.00, stable.
- The 57% DAP price index was 3362.50, down.
DAP Market Analysis and Forecast:
Today, domestic DAP market prices saw minor adjustments.
Enterprise Side:
- Companies are primarily fulfilling export orders, with few domestic orders. Pending and export orders support stable prices.
- Some facilities have scheduled maintenance, reducing industry capacity utilization.
Market Side:
- International prices are rising, but domestic market transactions are average. Market sentiment remains cautious, leading to stable market conditions.
Demand Side:
- Domestic demand is weak, as the corn fertilizer season is ending, with limited just-in-time procurement.
Raw Materials:
- Sulfur and phosphate rock prices are slightly fluctuating.
- Synthetic ammonia prices are declining, leading to minor cost reductions.
Overall: With support from pending export orders and high costs, but limited domestic demand, DAP prices are expected to remain stable with minor fluctuations in the short term.
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June 12, 2024, 9:21 AM
June 12, 2024, 9:21 AM
June 12, 2024, 9:21 AM
